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Vaccine Update: Government likely to have missed last week’s vaccination target by around 10,000 doses

The number of vaccines administered Monday to Saturday last week was only 79,328, meaning it is highly unlikely the Government hit its target of administering 94,000 doses last week.

Between Monday the 1st and Saturday the 6th of March, the last day we have data for, we administered 79,328 doses, compared to 81,523 the week before. In previous weeks the number of doses administered on Sunday have been 1,900 – 2,500, a trend which, if it continued over last Sunday, would mean we likely vaccinated less than 82,000 people last week.

If that is accurate, and the Government missed its vaccination target last week, it would be the third week running in which the Government have managed to miss their target.

The total number of doses administered, as of the 6th, was 523,069, with 373,149 of those being the 1st dose, and 149,920 of those being 2nd doses.

The Government has said that they will aim to administer 84,000 doses this week. Hitting that target will mean we will likely have administered somewhere in the region of 600,000 doses by the 15th of March.

That gives us 17 days to administer another 650,000 doses in order to hit the Government’ target of administering 1,250,000 doses by the end of March. Doing that would require us to administer 38,235 doses a day on all 17 days, more than three times the current rate.

The Government has said that targets are being missed due to issues with vaccine supply, particularly the AstraZeneca vaccine. However, the Government had previously said that delays in the AstraZeneca supply had been accounted for when determining targets.

The average number of doses administered per day, over the last seven days, is now 11,693. The average number of doses administered per day has slightly more than doubled since the it first became possible to put together 7-day vaccination averages on the 9th of February.

Monday the 15th saw GPs begin to administer vaccines to people aged 85 and older, who are part of “Cohort 3” in the Government’s vaccination schedule. The CSO estimates that there are 490,000 people to be vaccinated in Cohort 3, which also includes those 70 and older who are not in long-term residential care. 97,681 of these had received their first dose as of the 6rd of March.

Daily reporting of vaccinating numbers only goes back to the 3rd of February, meaning that the 9th of February is the earliest day from which we can show total doses administered over a seven-day period. On the 9th of February, the daily average number of doses administered was 5,642, with 39,495 doses having been administered between the 3rd and the 9th.

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