This is only going one way.
Before the debate, all of the fundamentals pointed to a very tight election decided by a handful of votes in a few states. After the debate, that remains the case.
The Mayor was happily photographed with a whole series of free willies, while – perhaps subconsciously – keeping his own paws strategically placed to protect his own:
A unified left, and a right that’s four cats in a bag, clawing at each other.
Things can change in two weeks, but it’s increasingly hard to see what might be called “an earthquake” type result emerging from these elections.
This evidence was there in the polls: As we went into the final week, it was clear that the more people heard about the proposals, the less sure they were about them.
What do you do when the evidence suggests your own message is actively turning off voters, and you’ve just got one week left, when they’re scheduled to hear more of your message than ever before?
The prospect of Labour, the oldest party in the state, being entirely wiped out at the next election is now firmly on the table.
Biden is only likely to get stronger from here
The difficulty with the Greens is that they cannot by definition tailor their policies to the concerns of the voters, because their very rationale for existing is to over-ride and repress the concerns of the voters.
It failed
A few weeks ago I got some entirely predictable stick from readers when I wrote that a Sunday Times Behaviour and Attitudes poll showing a dramatic surge for Sinn Fein and a dramatic collapse for Fine Gael was probably wrong. At the time I wrote: In any case, the sensible thing to do when an […]