The nature of the Irish political system is such that incumbency is an unusually powerful advantage for a political party, compared to other jurisdictions. In our nearest neighbour, which uses a first-past-the-post electoral system, a long serving MP in a safe seat standing down would mean little more than an opportunity for some young and ambitious member of the same party to take the seat at the next election. The same would be true, for example, of a retiring Republican Senator in Mississippi or a Democrat in Vermont. Seats follow parties, not people.
That is not true in Ireland, and it is why a major retirement like that of Richard Bruton is big news. The one major advantage of our system is that very few TDs can rely on party sympathisers alone to get them elected time and time again – people like Richard Bruton will have built a life time’s worth of personal connections and favours and relationships in his constituency that attract transfers and votes from people who might otherwise never consider a vote for Fine Gael. Consider that in his last election, Richard Bruton secured over 11,000 first preference votes. His Fine Gael running mate, Catherine Noone, got just 2,000. Representing the same party, voters nevertheless plumped for Bruton en masse.
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