The number of vaccines administered this week, to date, is lower than we have seen in the previous two weeks. The current rate of administration means it is highly unlikely that we will hit the Government’s vaccination target for March.

The Government has said that they will aim to administer 84,000 doses next week. Hitting that target will mean we will have only administered roughly 584,000 doses by the 15th of March.

That gives us 17 days to administer another 666,000 doses in order to hit the Government’ target of administering 1,250,000 doses by the end of March. That would require us to administer 39,176 doses a day on all 17 days, more than three times the current rate.

The Government has begun to say that targets are being missed due to issues with vaccine supply, particularly the AstraZeneca vaccine. However, the Government had previously said that delays in the AstraZeneca supply had been accounted for when determining the target. It also appears that we will miss the target by a far-greater amount than could be explained as being due to delays with AstraZeneca.

The average number of doses administered per day, over the last seven days, is now 11,392. The average number of doses administered per day has slightly more than doubled since the it first became possible to put together 7-day vaccination averages on the 9th of February.

Monday the 15th saw GPs begin to administer vaccines to people aged 85 and older, who are part of “Cohort 3” in the Government’s vaccination schedule. The CSO estimates that there are 490,000 people to be vaccinated in Cohort 3, which also includes those 70 and older who are not in long-term residential care. 71,927 of these had received their first dose as of the 3rd of March.

The total vaccination doses administered, as of Wednesday the 3rd of March,  was 474,645, with 328,598 of those being the 1st dose, and 146,047 of those being 2nd doses.

Daily reporting of vaccinating numbers only goes back to the 3rd of February, meaning that the 9th of February is the earliest day from which we can show total doses administered over a seven-day period. On the 9th of February, the daily average number of doses administered was 5,642, with 39,495 doses having been administered between the 3rd and the 9th.