If there is an area in which expertise might be expected, it would surely be in the area of producing the statistical models on which national policy in a time of crisis is based.
It should be obvious to anybody with a basic grasp of numbers that Ireland has now been making policy, for some time, based on figures which are worse than imaginary.
In light of the media’s focus on people spreading false information about Covid-19, here are the top 7 worst predictions and least accurate statements made by NPHET and other experts throughout the pandemic. 1. LUKE O’NEILL: THE VACCINES ARE “ALL 100% EFFECTIVE IN PREVENTING HOSPITALISATIONS AND DEATH” Earlier this year, Trinity College immunologist Luke O’Neill […]
When policy is based on bad information, you usually get bad results. That has happened consistently in Ireland, with NPHET. It is long past time to disband that body.
On Wednesday evening, Professor Philip Nolan, the NPHET scientist responsible for NPHET’s statistical model which predicted 700,000 cases of Covid-19’s Delta Variant in the event that the Government proceeded to re-open the economy as planned, composed a twitter thread outlining the figures. Amidst that thread, he included one of the most incredible statements made by […]
My colleague Gary Kavanagh made an observation last night which will stick with me for some time: The great trick of Irish policymakers, he said, has been to convince people that the consequences of their decisions are in fact the consequences of Covid, and that there was never any other way. No matter what happens, […]