As this poll demonstrates, the Irish Government has serious political problems. But those problems are not coming from the right.
Winning a new military ally, without that ally even noticing.
Perhaps the best way to consider this election is to ask the question: Who are Peter Casey’s 2018 supporters backing now?
A “meh” on all your houses.
As of now, the “Yes” side is in a very strong position, and it’s incumbent on the “No” side to think carefully about how to reverse that in the time remaining.
“You can’t govern by opinion polls.”
It is not the next election that the Irish establishment should fear. It is the one after that.