The bad news for Donald Trump, in this new poll from the excellent Ireland Thinks (which increasingly does polling on interesting questions that other companies just don’t) is that if Ireland was the 51st state of the Union, it would be the most Democratic state there is. Even in ultra-liberal Vermont, Trump will get something like a third of the votes next Tuesday.

In Ireland? A measly thirteen per cent:

They’re even good enough to break it out by party support and other demographics.

Irish Trump supporters, then, are more likely to be male (18% versus 8% of women), most likely to be young adults (19% of 25-34 year olds, compared to just 9% of 65 and olders), and vastly more likely to support socially conservative parties like Aontú, or independents (62% of Aontú voters, 55% of “other”) compared to traditional parties.

The interesting thing here, of course, isn’t that the Trump vote is so low by comparison with even the most liberal, lefty, American state. It’s that the Trump vote is so high, compared to the make up of the Irish political system.

We have a proportional representation system here in Ireland. That means, at least in theory, that the differing ideological stripes of the population should be represented, roughly proportionally, in our political system. So where are the TDs and Senators representing the more than one in ten Irish people who want to – sorry now – make Ireland great again?

There are, after all, more Trump supporters in Ireland than there are supporters of Labour, the Social Democrats, and the various far-left parties put together. And yet, when was the last time you heard an Irish TD speak about the urgent need to build a wall, or cut taxes, or strengthen our immigration system?

Thirteen per cent would equate to somewhere between ten and twenty Dáil seats. If there was an effective Trumpist party, with decent candidates, that achieved thirteen per cent in an election, it would be comfortably the fourth largest party in the Dáil.

And it’s not just politics, either – where is the representation of these Trump supporting Irish voters in the media, and culture? A lot of them, of course, get their news from this website, but we’re very small, and routinely ignored by our larger competitors.

Some of this frustration, of course, is being channelled unproductively into fringe movements and parties who are unelectable, even to many in that 13%, which is unfortunate. The surge of Trump-supporting Irish voters behind Aontú, for example, seems to speak to a desire to support something electable and reasonable. Even the hardest-core Irish maga(or is it MIGA?)-head is going to struggle, though, to back parties and movements that spend more time worrying about chemtrails and the Bilderberg group than they do about the day to day concerns of Irish voters.

And mainly, of course, the problem is finding candidates and leaders willing to speak out and lead. Those who would lead a putatively Trumpist Irish political party would immediately be assailed by the media, and our cultural gatekeepers, as beyond the pale. They would have to be willing to sacrifice their respectability, employment prospects, and reputations. And it would not be one person, either – you would need good candidates in about 43 constituencies who could make the case credibly without diverting into conspiracy theories or fringe obsessions.

That’s been the Achilles heel of right-leaning Irish populism for decades now. There’s no particular reason, unfortunately, to expect it to change any time soon.

Still, the strong support amongst younger voters is very interesting. If the Irish populist right can meet that openness in the electorate for a new approach with something sane, and credible, that doesn’t embarrass its own potential supporters, there might well be an opening.

The early signs, though, have not been hugely encouraging.