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Vaccine Update: Cohort 4 vaccination target hit over a week behind schedule

10,000 people in Cohort 4, which consists of people “aged 16-69 at very high risk”, had been vaccinated as of Tuesday the 23rd, the last day we have data for. When the HSE originally announced they were planned to vaccinate 10,000 people in Cohort 4 they had said it would be achieved by the 14th of March. It is unclear why there was such a delay in vaccinating this Cohort.

By close of business Tuesday the Government had administered 709,348 vaccines, meaning they only have eight days left in which to administer 540,652 vaccines if they plan to hit their original target of administering 1.25m vaccines by the end of March.

We would need to administer 62,581 vaccines every day between Wednesday the 24th and Wednesday the 31st of March in order to achieve that number. On Tuesday the 23rd, the last day we have data for, we administered 18,751 vaccines.

It appears clear that we will miss the March target by a rather substantial amount, most likely somewhere in the region of 450,000 vaccinations.

The Government has blamed this on supply issues, and that is certainly part of the issue, but HSE figures show that, as of the start of this week, there were 175,345 unused vaccines in the country – we had received 855,360 vaccines as of last Sunday but had only administered 680,015 by that date. More deliveries are expected to arrive this week and next.

The total number of doses administered, as of the 23rd, was 709,348, with 515,800 of those being the 1st dose, and 193,548 of those being 2nd doses. The average number of doses administered per day, over the last seven days, is now 10,658.

Monday the 15th of February saw GPs begin to administer vaccines to people aged 85 and older, who are part of Cohort 3 in the Government’s vaccination schedule. The CSO estimates that there are 490,000 people to be vaccinated in Cohort 3, which also includes those 70 and older who are not in long-term residential care. 185,080 of these had received their first dose as of the 23rd of March.

Daily reporting of vaccinating numbers only goes back to the 3rd of February, meaning that the 9th of February is the earliest day from which we can show total doses administered over a seven-day period. On the 9th of February, the daily average number of doses administered was 5,642, with 39,495 doses having been administered between the 3rd and the 9th.

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