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Vaccine Update: After a good week Sunday performance disappoints

Between Monday the 22nd and Saturday the 27th, 120,832 doses of vaccine were administered, more than twice what was administered in the same period the week before. It was hoped that the increased rate of vaccination would continue over Sunday the 28th, the last day we have data for, but we actually administered less vaccines on the 28th, 2,635, than we had Sunday the 21st, 2,911.

The total number of doses administered, as of the 28th, was 806,541, with 580,857 of those being the 1st dose, and 225,684 of those being 2nd doses. The average number of doses administered per day, over the last seven days, is now 17,638.

The Government has only three days left in which to administer 443,459 vaccines if they plan to hit their original target of administering 1.25m vaccines by the end of March.

We would need to administer 147,819 vaccines every day between Monday the 29th and Wednesday the 31st of March to achieve that number.

It appears clear that we will miss the March target by a rather substantial amount, most likely somewhere in the region of 350-400,000 vaccinations.

The Government has blamed this on supply issues, and that is certainly part of the issue, but HSE figures show that, as of Sunday the 21st we had received 855,360 vaccines, and more should have arrived since then. Some of those vaccines are being held in reserve, but it appears likely that some unknown quantity, perhaps shortages in syringes, is also slowing down vaccination.

Monday the 15th of February saw GPs begin to administer vaccines to people aged 85 and older, who are part of “Cohort 3” in the Government’s vaccination schedule. The CSO estimates that there are 490,000 people to be vaccinated in Cohort 3, which also includes those 70 and older who are not in long-term residential care.  223,314 of these had received their first dose as of the 28th of March.

21,269 vaccines have been administered to people in Cohort 4 as of the 28th of March. Cohort 4 consists of those “Aged 16-69 at Very High Risk.”

Daily reporting of vaccinating numbers only goes back to the 3rd of February, meaning that the 9th of February is the earliest day from which we can show total doses administered over a seven-day period. On the 9th of February, the daily average number of doses administered was 5,642, with 39,495 doses having been administered between the 3rd and the 9th.

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