An Ipsos exit poll released within minutes of the polls closing in the French elections for the National Assembly suggests that Rassemblement National has won 33.5% of the vote.
That poll was close to a number of other exit polls which were predicting that Marie Le Pen’s nationalist party would win between 230 seats and just over the 289 seats required to win a majority.
🔴 🗳️ #Législatives2024 : Estimation Ipsos-@Talan_World des résultats en voix mise à jour à 21:01 ⬇️#RN et ses alliés : 33,5%#NFP : 28,1% #Ensemble : 20,7%
— Ipsos France (@IpsosFrance) June 30, 2024
📌 Le direct sur https://t.co/7oem0Gqc0z@Francetele - @radiofrance - @FRANCE24 - @RFI - @LCP pic.twitter.com/oLyVxcaS0A
If the exit polls are confirmed it will represent a stunning defeat for President Emmanuel Macron who called the election following the victory of RN in the June 7 European Parliament elections in France.
The result also represents a kick in the teeth for the Nouveau Front Populaire which includes a ragtag of far leftists including the once mighty Communist Party of France which has lost much of its urban working class support to RN.
Pendant ce temps, à Paris, la macronie a mis plein de flics devant le siège de Renaissance parce qu’ils ont peur qu’on réalise enfin à qui on doit toute cette merde.
— Marcel (@realmarcel1) June 30, 2024
🎥@Cemil pic.twitter.com/IQsODMsEzZ
The police in Paris and other cities are on high alert as they anticipate a violent reaction from the Left and others upset at the outcome.
The final results will not be known until next Sunday when a second round is required to determine which candidate will take around 300 of the 577 seats which are yet to be filled.
RN is still poised to do best, but a bizarre pact was already being discussed on Sunday evening with Macron’s Renaissance/Ensemble calling on its voters to opt for the far-left candidate if better placed.
Le Pen’s party may, however, be the beneficiary of choice from centre right voters who might prefer her to the Left particularly if their reaction takes the violent form that many anticipate.
Rioting had already been reported in parts of the heavily north African banlieue in Paris within an hour of the polls closing.
If RN do win a majority or manage to form a government with the tacit support of others it will represent a seismic shift not only in French politics but in the politics of Europe as the ancient peoples of Europe wake up to the reality of what is happening to their countries and ours which were once the beacons and pioneers of civilisation, Christianity and order.