Last April, in 2020, I wrote an article claiming that the year of the lockdown presented an unprecedented opportunity to finally test the claims of the climate lobby. A year later, the evidence is not looking good for our green friends.
In the article, entitled “Covid-19 shutdown could be a chance to test man-made climate change once and for all”, I discussed the fact that, after the 9/11 attacks, almost all planes were grounded for 3 days around much of the developed world. Following this brief pause in air traffic, meteorologists reportedly recorded the skies being clearer than usual and a drop in temperature, which led many in the climate lobby to conclude that this was proof that the climate was significantly affected by plane contrails, as reported at the time in CNN, Nature, and elsewhere.
From Nature in 2002: "Clouds formed by the water vapour in the exhaust from jet planes have a small but significant effect on daily temperatures, a new study confirms", citing 9/11 flight moratorium as evidence.
— Ben Scallan ???????? (@Ben_Scallan) February 3, 2021
Since then, stopping, or at least reducing, the number of flights globally has been a lynchpin of the green agenda, with environmental groups like Extinction Rebellion holding protests at Heathrow airport, arguing that carbon emissions from planes (among other things) are destroying the planet.
'Nicholas Watt said his flight from London City Airport to Dublin was at the end of the runway when a "smartly dressed man" stood up and began to walk down the aisle, delivering a lecture on climate change.' https://t.co/P6mvJX1MaY
— Media Lens (@medialens) October 10, 2019
But since 9/11, we have had one other opportunity to test this theory. As my original piece read:
“Flash forward to 2020’s Wuhan coronavirus, and in the last few weeks, the world’s planes have been largely idle whilst its people are on lockdown. This unforeseen and unwanted event offers us the chance to test Noland’s theory that contrails are in large part responsible for ‘global warming’. In fact, the 9/11 event shut down the skies over one continent for 3 days – the Wuhan shutdown is global, currently in its third week, and seems to have some weeks left to run. Because of the coronavirus shutdown will we see a fall in average global temperatures over the next few weeks and months?”
So here we are, 2021. The lockdown is still ongoing. And what has been the result?
“The effect of lockdowns on concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere was so small that it registers as a “blip”, hardly distinguishable from the year-to-year fluctuations of the carbon cycle, according to the World Meteorological Organization, and has had a negligible impact on the overall curve of rising CO2 levels.”
As a consequence, according to NASA, 2020 was tied for the hottest year on record.
2020 was tied with 2016 for the warmest year on record, part of a long-term warming trend driven by human activity. @NASA works to monitor how our climate is changing — melting ice, warming temperatures, longer fire seasons, and more.https://t.co/rRGWobbgyV pic.twitter.com/dzr7FO1l93
— NASA Earth (@NASAEarth) January 27, 2021
And furthermore, we’re just after finding that Ireland’s carbon emissions have declined by a measly 6%, even after all that’s gone on.
Ireland’s carbon emissions decline by almost 6% in 2020 due to pandemic https://t.co/TUBvxgmAi0
— The Irish Times (@IrishTimes) January 29, 2021
So let’s get this straight: We shut down the entire economy for a year. We kept the entire country under house arrest with the threat of legal prosecution, so there were far fewer cars on the road and only a tiny fraction of planes in the sky. We shut down entire industries worldwide. And after all that, the amount of carbon was, quote “hardly distinguishable from the year-to-year fluctuations”. We gave in – admittedly for different reasons – to many of the Greens most radical demands, and did much of what they have asked for years. And still, nothing changed.
This means one of two things: either climate change is a completely natural and random process that’s been happening for thousands of years, and has nothing to do with how many times you drive your car to Supermacs. Or it’s man-made, and will require even more effort than we’ve already put in to see proper reductions. To get that measly 6% up to the 50% margin the Greens are talking about, we’re going to need MUCH more extreme measures than anything we’ve seen to date. There is no third option, it’s one or the other.
Green investment can drive economic recovery and help us reach our climate goals. Emissions fell by around 6% last year – but we need that and more every year. My statement on the @EPAIreland/@SEAI_ie report on Greenhouse Gas Emissions ➡️https://t.co/MNfC4Xhs0A https://t.co/r5FbKocqL0
— Eamon Ryan (@EamonRyan) January 29, 2021
Assuming it’s the latter, if everything we’ve seen over the past year didn’t make a significant dent in Ireland and the world’s emissions, what the hell else are we supposed to do? Shut down all the power stations and go back to using candlelight perhaps? Will we implement some kind of Roman decimation system and summarily execute every tenth citizen? Maybe some sort of Chinese-style one-child policy would be in order? Honestly, what else could we possibly do? It’s literally absurd on its face. Someone’s been smoking too much windowsill salad if they think anything that’s currently happening is sustainable into the future.
This obvious observation will be completely ignored by most of the media, who are totally wedded to the cult of climate alarmism, but for those who are willing to listen, this past year should shed serious doubts on the seriousness with which we take the entire green agenda.