Immigration could cost the Dutch exchequer Є600 billion over the next two decades if current trends remain unchained according to academics from the University of Amsterdam’s School of Economics.
In a research paper entitled Borderless Welfare State: The Consequences of Immigration for Public Finances academics including experts from the fields of economics, mathematics, sociology, and public administration said that pressures associated with immigration could render the Dutch welfare system “unsustainable”.
While some immigrants represent a net positive for the economy, figures from across all four categories examined in the study indicate this economic boost is more than negated when viewed in context of the full picture of immigration in the Netherlands.
The paper highlighted the cost of accepting immigrants in billions of euros from 1995 – 2040 (forcast) inclusive of the costs of second generation immigrants outlining how the Dutch population is growing due to immigration.
Of the population of the Netherlands at the end of 2019 – 17 million – 13% were born abroad (first generation) and 11% were children of immigrants (second generation).
“Currently, per capita expenditures on immigrants are significantly higher than on Dutch native people in areas such as education, healthcare, justice, social security and allowances.” it said, adding. “Moreover, immigrants pay fewer taxes and social security premiums.”
The cost to the Dutch exchequer of accepting immigrants from Morocco and the Horn of Africa is between €475,000-€625,000 per immigrant it said.
“The main findings for the net contribution (benefits minus costs) of the first two generations together are given in Table 0.1. The total net cost of immigration was on average 17 billion euro per year over the period 1995-2019 (i.e. on average for immigrants arriving in a calendar year).”
The paper says that this figure is equal to what the Dutch government spent on defence and unemployment benefits “combined” in 2016.
“In 2016, net costs peaked at 32 billion euros, partly due to the ‘refugee crisis’. The total cost over the 1995-2019 period was 400 billion euros, an amount of the same order of magnitude as the total Dutch natural gas revenues from the start of extraction until 2019.” it added, continting that based on forecasts from Statistics Netherlands, “the report estimates the total cost of immigration for the next two decades at 600 billion euros if policy remains unchanged.”
In its analysis of the ‘costs and benefits by immigration motive and region’ the paper says “the net contributions of immigrants vary” stating that there are “large differences between western and non-western immigrants.”
“On average, western immigrants make positive contributions of €25,000 and non-western immigrants cost €275,000” it said, adding that” within the western and non-western categories, however, there is a lot of variation.”
The study found that immigration from most western regions was “ positive for the treasury” noting that immigrants from Japan, North America, Oceania, the British Isles, Scandinavia and Switzerland “make a substantial positive contribution of around €200,000 per immigrant.”
While immigration from Central and Eastern European countries costs €50,000, excluding former Yugoslavia and the former Soviet Union. “The latter two areas of origin mainly involve asylum migrants who make a substantial negative contribution of €150,000.” it said.
The authors said that iImmigration from non-Western regions “tends to be negative for the treasury” which is “especially true” for the regions of the Caribbean, Middle East (including Pakistan and Turkey) and North, Central and West Africa (net costs of €200,000 to €400,000), Morocco (€550,000) and the Horn of Africa and Sudan (€600,000).
The study found that there are “substantial differences” between groups with different immigration motives.
“Only labour immigration generates a positive average net contribution of €125,000 per immigrant. Study migration costs a net €75,000 on average. Family migration costs the treasury €275,000 per immigrant on aver- age. The net cost of asylum migration averages €475,000 per immigrant.” it said.
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One quarter of the Netherlands is on ground reclaimed from the sea. They recognized they did not have enough land for houses and farms. Recently the government set out to confiscate farms in order to have land to build houses for the large number of immigrants that they invited without forethought. This will not end well unless a new government puts a moratorium on all immigrants.
Chapter 1 of The Decline and Fall of The West- Immigration
Absolutely wonderful study – am reading through the original myself. If number like 625k become the base for discussions around asylum it will quickly become apparent that this will quickly bankrupt any participating state. When leftists start to realise that the consequence of their policies will be no welfare state at all they will quickly adjust as per Denmark which had a study with remarkably similar findings in 2017 : https://demo-demo.nl/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Borderless_Welfare_State-2.pdf
Don’t expect the left to change Robert. They know just as well as the rest of us that immigration is a disaster. They want to see societal collapse as they think they will benefit from the subsequent chaos. It a deliberate tactic to confuse, deceive and demoralise society. There is no good outcome to what’s coming at us.
I don’t expect the left to accept any responsibility for their role in the bankrupting of the state – they refuse to take any for National Socialism, the Khmer Rouge, Stalinism or Maoism – an enormous and likely deliberate ommission from the teaching of history in Irish state schools. I am reminded very much of some of the interviews Margaret Thatcher gave – the state steals both resources and freedom from its citzens. The state has grown disproportionately under successive Irish governments (some would argue “ballooned”) and across Europe one sees the pushback occurring – it will resist tooth and nail of course but the very fact that it’s mouth organs (the mainstream media) are dying means that unless it goes full totalitarian (hello “hate speech” laws) then it is inevitable that a reckoning is coming. It is the duty of the citzens now to remind Leo et al who they are answerable to.
This study has serious implications for Ireland. Even if you supported the current policy it would make uncomfortable reading. Excluding migrants already here the current government plans to take 15,000 asylum seekers/year. A quick calculation yields 7,125 billion to accommodate this number, in 5 years this equates to 35,625 billion. From a purely economic point of view these are astronomical figures with massive implications for pensions and social provision in the future. The question I have is seeing the problems in other countries why would all the current parties all support a policy like this and push it through against public sentiment.
Vote the c**ts our Dave before they get a chance to completely wreck Ireland
When you recognise and accept that all the government and main opposition parties are not working for the Irish people but are instead pursuing the agenda of the WEF/UN, your question is answered.
It’s economically and socially unjustifiable unless of course you are making millions out of it. Another reason could just be that they just hate the Irish public and want to do as much harm as they can to them.
Immigration is just a spoke in the wheel of national destruction.
Well if the new right government gets to form a coalition, I’d expect a dramatic change in that, if he is the genuine article unlike meloni in Italy who has broken a new record for illegal immigrants.
Experts stating the obvious. Despite what our anointed leaders tell us not all immigration is good. Some is good, some is bad. Good leaders make that distinction.
Just shows that a country that is largely below sea level has no fear of global warming causing rising sea level problems.
They are good at building dyke’s James. As the German chancellor Bismarck said about the Dutch, “if they lived in Ireland they would feed the world. He then paused and said ” of course if the Irish lived in Holland they would drown”.
We need to undertake a similar exercise but it will have to wait until after the next general election.
I don’t believe that any Irish Academic or public body would have the balls or the motivation to conduct such a study in the current political climate… it would be kicked to touch, fudged or the authors would be witch hunted!