As with the assassination in Sarajevo, events have taken control over human history. Politicians and soldiers might argue that they are in charge, but then they always do. However, they absolutely are not in charge. Events are, as too is geography, and not even Donald Trump can reshape where the edge of Eurasia meets the edge of Arabia, namely the Strait of Hormuz, and the great choke-point of world trade.
Just as the Turks won the war for the Dardanelles Straits in 1915 because they owned the peninsula that lay alongside it, and they also had the will to defend it, the Iranians are probably going to win this war. We can see certain truths already. The American-Israel alliance has not come close to achieving regime-change. Trump can throw the 81st Airborne and a US Marine Corps Division onto the roulette table, just to see what he gets in return. Bodybags, probably, just like Gallipoli. But wasn’t he elected on the specific promise that he wouldn’t go in for that kind of caper? And what the hell has he just gone and done? In the opening round, six US National Guard soldiers, including a mother or two, Joey Armour, were slaughtered in Kuwait while sheltering in a truck-container not dissimilar to those blocking Irish motorways.
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